Gold Futures Analysis Today with tradeCompass (September 19, 2025)
Bullish above: 3684.7
Bearish below: 3679.3
Partial targets (bullish): 3692.7 → 3696.2 → 3699.3 → 3707.8
Partial targets (bearish): 3675.5 → 3668.7 → 3662.8
Market Context for Gold Futures
At the time of writing, gold futures trade at 3688.6, holding above today’s bullish threshold of 3684.7 (yesterday’s VWAP). This keeps the bias tilted higher, though today’s expiration-driven session could mean more sideways movement than clean trends.
For context, gold has been consolidating just below all-time highs as traders wait for fresh data to guide the next move. Earlier coverage on gold’s consolidation highlights this bigger-picture dynamic.
Key Levels and Price Targets
Bullish roadmap:
- First resistance is at 3692.7, overlapping with the 2nd upper VWAP deviation and just shy of yesterday’s Value Area High.
- Next upside checkpoint is 3696.2, aligned with the Value Area Low from two sessions ago, placed slightly beneath for improved fill odds.
- Third profit level comes at 3699.3, immediately under the round number 3700 and tied to today’s 3rd VWAP deviation.
If momentum persists, bulls can aim for 3707.8, which corresponds to two-day VWAP levels and yesterday’s liquidity pool.
Bearish roadmap:
- The downside is only activated on a firm break below 3679.3, positioned just under today’s VWAP and the important 3680 line that featured heavily across September 12–17 trading sessions.
- First target for the bears is 3675.5, sitting just above today’s Value Area Low and yesterday’s POC.
- Deeper support follows at 3668.7, a cushion above yesterday’s Value Area Low.
- Final bearish target sits at 3662.8, which marks a broader liquidity zone.
Why Professionals Track Volume Profile and VWAP
Institutional desks and advanced traders often lean on Volume Profile and VWAP because these tools reveal where the market is actually trading size.
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Volume Profile maps out areas of acceptance and rejection. The VAH and VAL mark the borders of the high-volume trading zone, while the POC often acts as a price magnet.
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VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) represents true “fair value.” Its deviation bands (1st, 2nd, 3rd) expand in volatility and contract in quiet markets, providing real-time markers of stretched conditions.
This is why liquidity-sensitive players favor them over simple moving averages.
tradeCompass Methodology and Risk Practice
tradeCompass keeps things structured:
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Clear thresholds define the bias (bullish above, bearish below).
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Only one trade per side per day.
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Stops sit just beyond the entry-side threshold, never past the opposite threshold, since a breach invalidates the setup.
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Partial profits are non-negotiable. For today’s session, stops are moved to entry right after TP1 instead of TP2, acknowledging that expiries often bring erratic moves.
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After TP2, stops shift to breakeven as a standard rule to protect the position.
This approach keeps traders disciplined and reduces risk of chop-induced errors. Last but not least, tradeCompass is mostly for day traders, and at times, for swing traders. But it is up to you to remember managing your trade before the day closes – cancelling orders, knowing what you are doing, and wrapping up with an understanding of a possible overnight or over the weekend risk. Experienced traders know these are trivial.
What Traders Should Watch Into the Weekly Close Today
Gold is holding above its bullish line in the sand at 3684.7, but with expiries in play, traders should be alert for quick reversals. The 3680 level remains the key inflection point: above it, bulls have room to press higher into liquidity; below it, sellers take the wheel.
This analysis is provided as decision support only. Trading futures carries significant risk, and each trader should manage their own exposure accordingly.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.