Japan June 2025 CPI remains well above the Bank of Japan target rate, still

Forex Short News

All three of the main inflation measures in Japan remain well above the 2% Bank of Japan target rate

Headline CPI 3.3% y/y

  • expected 3.3%, prior 3.5%

Core CPI (this is excluding fresh food) 3.3% y/y

  • expected 3.3%, prior 3.7%

Core-core CPI (this is excluding fresh food and energy ) 3.4% y/y

  • expected 3.3%, prior 3.3%

The scuttlebutt is that the Bank of Japan will be boosting its inflation forecasts at the next meeting (July 30 and 31). Seems logicial given the ongoing run of high readings:

Cost of living pressures are an important issue in Japan and will likely take a toll on the ruling party in thie weekend’s election. This Sunday, Japan will vote in its upper‑house election for 124 of 248 seats—a critical mid‑term test for Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s embattled coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) and Komeito.

The LDP is widely expected to lose its majority in the upper house, signaling further political instability following last year’s lower‑house losses. The governing minority is feeling pressure from economic headwinds like inflation, rising living costs, and the threat of U.S. trade tariffs.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.