BNP Paribas is out with a note estimating how the economic data schedule might look if the US government reopens today. It’s not a pretty …
Policy is in a good place Rate cut so far has supported labor market, keeps downward pressure on inflation Slow wage growth shows it’s a …
The USD is mixed with the USD lower vs the EUR and GBP by higher vs the JPY as the market reacts to the potential …
Headlines: US futures keep higher on hopes of end to government shutdown Fed’s Daly says need to keep an open mind about further rate cuts …
Rate cuts by year-end Fed: 16 bps (65% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting) 2026: 82 bps ECB: 1 bps (96% probability of …
Restrictive policy is putting downward pressure on inflation Tariffs effects are largely confined to goods Inflation expectations still relatively well anchored She’s clearly erring on …