Japan service PPI stays high, keeping BOJ rate hike expectations alive … for 2026!

Forex Short News

Recapping Japan’s corporate service inflation data earlier, that rose 3.3% year-on-year in May, just below April’s revised 3.4%, according to BOJ data.

  • The Bank of Japan is closely watching service-sector prices for signs that wage-driven inflation may become sustained.

  • The services producer price index reflects what businesses charge each other for services and is a key gauge of domestic inflation pressures.

  • The BOJ raised rates to 0.5% earlier this year after ending its ultra-loose monetary policy, betting inflation could hold near its 2% target.

  • However, economic risks from higher U.S. tariffs have led the BOJ to cut its growth forecasts, complicating the timing of future rate hikes.

  • A narrow majority of economists now expect the next 25bp hike in early 2026.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.