Capital Economics are forecasting a Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike on May 7. In brief:
- The case for the RBA to tighten policy is growing increasingly compelling. Underlying inflation is all but certain to overshoot its current forecast.
- Services inflation, which has long been a concern for the Bank, is also proving to be quite persistent.
- Meanwhile, the labour market has largely stopped loosening and green shoots are starting to emerge in the economy.
- As a result, we now expect the RBA to hike rates by another 25bp when it meets
This is the only rate hike call I have seen (there could be those I haven’t seen though).
- Westpac – Australia- inflation a bit higher than expected, RBA on hold
- ANZ sticks to their forecast for a November 2024 interest rate cut from the RBA
This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com. Source