The Dot plot from March 2025 showed:
The NEW projections for June 2025 projects:
For the projections for growth, unemployment and inflation:
1) 2025 GDP
- In March, the median forecast for GDP was 1.7%
- In June, the median forecast for GDP is 1.4% (lower by 0.3%)
2) 2025 PCE inflation
- In March 2025 the projection for headline PCE was 2.7%. For the core PCE it was 2.8%,
- in June, the median forecast for PCE headline is 3.0% (higher by 0.3%). For the core PCE it is 3.1% (higher by 0.3%)
3) Unemployment for 2025
- In March 2025, the projection for unemployment was 4.4%.
- In June, the projection for unemployment is 4.5% (higher by 0.1%)
This article was written by Greg Michalowski at www.forexlive.com.