If you just got to your desk for the day, don’t worry, you didn’t miss much. It was an exceptionally quiet session with very little to get excited about in terms of price action.
- Japan PM calls for ceasefire and fair peace, weighs role in Ukraine security
- FX option expiries for 19 August 10am New York cut
- S&P affirms US AA+ rating with stable outlook despite high deficits
- Important implied volatility levels for USDCAD, EURCAD, GBPCAD and CADJPY
- Hurricane Erin nears Bahamas, heads toward US Atlantic coast
- RBC 1-3 month outlook for major currencies
- OpenAI launches ChatGPT Go in India for 399 rupees
- PBOC sets USD/ CNY reference rate for today at 7.1359 (vs. estimate at 7.1846)
- Preview for the Canadian CPI data later today
- Australia Consumer Sentiment 5.7% vs 0.6% prior
- Rubio backs Ukraine security guarantees, confirms Trump urged Putin to meet Zelenskiy
- PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 7.1846 – Reuters estimate
- Morgan Stanley expects a hawkish leaning Powell this week
- Zelenskiy pushes for real peace, signals US support on security guarantees
- NATO chief calls Washington talks a breakthrough on Ukraine security guarantees
- BTC showing higher timeframe divergence
- Economic Calendar for today 19 Aug 2025
- Finland’s president outlines progress on Ukraine security guarantees
- German Chancellor Merz calls Ukraine talks decisive, backs security guarantees
- UBS: View across major FX for the week ahead
- Kremlin says Trump and Putin call focused on Ukraine talks and ongoing cooperation
- Cross Asset Snapshot: choppy start across markets with eyes on jackson hole
- Von der Leyen stresses allied unity and security guarantees for Ukraine
- UBS likes selling upside in USDCAD and EURNOK
- investingLive Americas FX news wrap 18 Aug: Zelenskyy/EU leaders meet with Trump
- Trump pauses meeting with EU leaders to call Putin
- Arm hires Amazon AI chip director to lead in-house chip effort
- Goldman expects further USD depreciation due to economic performance
Catalysts were very thin. We has a plethora of politicians all weighing in on the Trump/EU meeting, but all of them basically just said what we already knew. There were some positive-looking developments when Trump had a phone call with Putin, and the overall message from both the US and the Kremlin was positive and shows ongoing engagement.
There is talk of article-5 security guarantees, but I’m sceptical on whether the US or other allies will want to commit to that given the recent history.
In FX, the NZD has been the strongest currency on the session so far, with the CAD the weakest. There were no real catalysts in play and most major pairs saw very small and contained moves.
Equity futures are technically trading in the red for most of the major benchmarks when looking at percentage change. Howeve, when looking at the actual price charts you’ll have to really squint to see the downside.
In commodities, gold was the outperformer by a whopping 0.19% so far, while oil was down close to half a percent.
Treasury yields moved up slightly.
All-in-all, a pretty boring session. Let’s hope CA CPI can shake things up a bit later in the day.
This article was written by Arno V Venter at investinglive.com.