Morgan Stanley expect a final rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia in November

Morgan Stanley on a Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike still to come:

  • The RBA now appears comfortably in data-dependent mode,
    with little suggestion that it needs to front-load the
    tightening that is incorporated in its forecasts
  • However, its
    inflation path suggests little room for surprises
  • As such, we now expect a final rate hike at the next
    forecast update in November, lowering our terminal rate forecast
    from 4.60% to 4.35%. The risk to our forecast is a more extended
    period on hold.

Comments come after the RBA left its cash rate on hold again this month:

Of the big four banks locally here in Australia, only NAB expect another rate hike:

ANZ, CBA and Westpac all expect the RBA hiking cycle is over.

RBA cash rate vs. inflation

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at Source