Nasdaq 100 technical analysis for today with tradeCompass (Nov 20, 2025)
At the time of this tradeCompass analysis, Nasdaq 100 futures are around $25,104, trading just above the bullish threshold at $25,095, so the map is currently tilted to the bullish side.
Summary tradeCompass map
Bullish above: $25,095
Bearish below: $25,000
Primary bias:
Intraday bullish while price holds above $25,095 and especially above VWAP around $25,120.
Bullish partial targets:
$25,120
$25,145
$25,167
$25,197
$25,237 to $25,240
Extended swing target: $25,360
Bearish partial targets (only if we break back below $25,000):
$24,961
$24,903
$24,822
Remember: after TP2 is hit, move your stop to breakeven to protect gains and manage any remaining runner.
Market context and directional bias
Price has just crossed above $25,095, the bullish tradeCompass line for today. That flip is important:
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Above $25,095 we treat the session as bullish territory, with the first focus on a test and reaction around today’s developing VWAP near $25,120.
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If buyers can defend VWAP and build a base above it, the path opens toward the sequence of higher intraday targets: $25,145, $25,167, $25,197, then the $25,237–$25,240 zone where we effectively say “thank you, tradeCompass is done for the day” on the standard bullish plan.
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Only below $25,000 do we flip the map to bearish. That level is not just a round number, it also lines up with today’s low and important VWAP references from November 16 and 17, so a break below would signal a deeper down-leg rather than a simple intraday dip.
So for now, the structure is more bullish than bearish, but the map keeps you open to both directions.
Key tradeCompass levels and partial profit logic
You can use this map whether you are already in a trade or planning new entries. The structure below assumes you take partial profits at each level.
Bullish path (above $25,095)
VWAP reaction zone
$25,120
Developing VWAP for today. Often acts as a fair value magnet where intraday flows rebalance. Logical place for an early partial, especially if you bought closer to the bullish threshold.
Next resistance pocket
$25,145
First clear resistance above VWAP. If price starts to stall here with weaker momentum, taking another partial makes sense and reduces risk.
Upper intraday expansion
$25,167
A continuation target where earlier shorts may get squeezed. Good level for further profit taking if the move is smooth and momentum holds.
Upper value extension
$25,197
Region where the current profile starts to stretch away from the core value area. Moves into this zone often invite profit-taking from short term longs.
Completion zone for standard plan
$25,237 – $25,240
Cluster zone where the tradeCompass map effectively says “job done” for the main bullish run. That does not mean the market cannot go higher, only that the primary intraday idea has played out and we do not want to overtrade it.
Extended swing target
$25,360
Optional swing-long target for traders who want to leave a small runner after securing most of their profits. This is where patience pays, but only if you have already locked in gains and moved your stop to protect the position.
Bearish path (only if below $25,000)
If price fails and breaks below $25,000, the story changes:
First downside target
$24,961
Initial support where early dip buyers may appear. Logical first partial for shorts that activate below the $25,000 threshold.
Liquidity pocket from prior sessions
$24,903
Refined from the original $24,898 to better reflect previous liquidity pools. Prior activity here can attract both profit taking and new orders.
Deeper corrective target
$24,822
More ambitious bearish objective for a session where sellers fully regain control. If this prints, you are dealing with a stronger down session rather than a mild pullback.
Per tradeCompass philosophy, you only run one core trade per direction on this map. If the bearish side completes, you wait for a fresh map rather than chasing late moves.
How to use this map in real time
Think of the bullish and bearish thresholds as activation rails:
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If price is near but failing to hold above $25,095, some traders will look for short opportunities into the upper targets that have already been tested, particularly if order flow starts to show exhaustion.
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If price cleanly loses $25,000 and stays below, that tells you the market has moved into a deeper bearish phase. In that case, the downward targets become the focus rather than trying to fight the trend.
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If price has already touched multiple bullish targets when you see this update, you can still use the remaining untested levels as reference for either late partials or fresh mean reversion ideas, depending on how stretched the session has become.
Nvidia, risk sentiment, and Nasdaq
The current risk tone is strongly influenced by Nvidia’s latest earnings. As covered in
European indices see green at the open as risk sentiment improves, stronger tech sentiment helped lift European stock markets earlier today. Investing Live
On top of that, Nvidia just reported another blowout quarter, raised its outlook, and highlighted visibility toward roughly $500bn in AI chip demand through 2026. The recap
Nvidia posts blowout quarter, lifts outlook & sees $500bn chip demand through 2026
goes into detail on how this supports the broader AI capex cycle and mega-cap tech sentiment.
Nvidia is currently trading significantly higher after earnings, which naturally helps Nasdaq futures hold near the upper end of today’s range. If NVDA pushes closer to the $200 round number, that psychological magnet can add another boost to Nasdaq intraday. For intraday traders, it is worth tracking how Nasdaq reacts when Nvidia approaches or backs away from that round-number area, especially relative to the tradeCompass thresholds.
Educational corner – quick VWAP refresher
Today’s first bullish target sits right on VWAP. A simple way to think about VWAP:
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VWAP is the volume weighted average price for the session.
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When price trades above VWAP, it usually reflects buyer control in the short term.
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When price trades below VWAP, it suggests seller control.
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Re-tests of VWAP from above or below often act as decision points, where aggressive buyers or sellers show their hand.
Many professional traders use VWAP bands and nearby value area levels to define entry zones, stop-loss placement, and partial profit targets, rather than relying only on static support and resistance.
Trade management reminders
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One main trade per direction per tradeCompass map, to reduce overtrading and revenge trading.
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Use the thresholds as idea invalidation, not just “nice lines” on the chart. If the opposite threshold is broken, the setup is considered finished and you should already be flat.
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Take partial profits at logical levels like VWAP and key profile zones. This locks in gains and gives you emotional and financial room to run a smaller remainder.
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After TP2 is reached, move your stop to breakeven to protect the trade while giving the runner space.
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Adapt confirmation to your style: some will want a clear close above $25,095 or above VWAP, others may wait for a retest and bounce. The map is the same, the execution style is yours.
Professional disclaimer
This tradeCompass Nasdaq analysis is decision support only, not financial advice. Markets are volatile and can move quickly against any scenario, no matter how well structured it looks on paper. Always size positions according to your own risk tolerance, use stops, and remember that every trade is your responsibility. Past patterns, including how price reacted around VWAP or value area levels in the past, do not guarantee future results.
This article was written by Itai Levitan at investinglive.com.