RBC holds a constructive view on Japanese equity market, says Japan-US trade deal likely

Forex Short News

RBC Wealth Management analysts like Japan stocks. In brief:

  • holds a constructive view on the Japanese equity market
  • thinks a Japan-US trade deal is likely but might not occur until after July’s elections for the upper house of Japan’s legislature (election is July 20)
  • has some reservations though: “Japan’s equity market has priced in tariff cuts, and price action related to this in the auto sector appears too optimistic”
  • a sustainable 2 per cent inflation target seems in sight
  • other supportive factors include renewed investment from friendshoring and onshoring, improving return-on-equity and shareholder returns, resilient domestic demand supported by high savings and wage hikes, inbound tourism, and elevated domestic retail inflows under the revamped Nippon Individual Savings Account scheme

That ‘resilient domestic demand supported by high savings and wage hikes’ sounds a bit too optimistic to me.

Nikkei:

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.