UK January retail sales +1.8% vs +0.2% m/m expected

Forex Short News
  • Prior +0.4%
  • Retail sales +4.5% vs +2.8% y/y expected
  • Prior +2.5%; revised to +1.9%
  • Retail sales ex autos, fuel +2.0% vs +0.2% m/m expected
  • Prior +0.3%
  • Retail sales ex autos, fuel +5.5% vs +3.6% y/y expected
  • Prior +3.1%; revised to +2.5%

That’s an impressive beat in terms of the monthly figure, with the headline being the largest monthly rise since May 2024. The most notable thing about the jump is that UK retail sales volumes are now flat when compared to the pre-pandemic level in February 2020.

Looking at the details, there were impressive jumps in food store sales (+1.2%), other non-food store sales (+5.3%), household goods store sales (+3.2%), and non-store retailing (+3.4%) on the month. That is offset slightly by a fall in department store sales (-1.3%).

Overall though, the less volatile three-month growth rate in UK retail sales only reflects a 0.1% increase. And when you exclude autos and fuel, it actually shows a 0.1% drop in retail sales. As such, the report isn’t as impressive as it might indicate at first glance.

Still, it is an impressive report nonetheless with ONS attributing the big jump in non-food store sales to strong sales volumes in commercial art galleries during January 2026. That is despite poorer weather conditions with UK seeing above average rainfall in the first month of the year, resulting in lower footfall in January 2026.

This article was written by Justin Low at investinglive.com.