What are the interest rates expectations ahead of the tariffs announcement

Forex Short News

Rate cuts by year-end

  • Fed: 76 bps (81% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • ECB: 63 bps (81% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoE: 53 bps (70% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • BoC: 58 bps (61% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBA: 72 bps (60% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • RBNZ: 68 bps (82% probability of rate cut at the upcoming meeting)
  • SNB: 14 bps (74% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

Rate hikes by year-end

  • BoJ: 31 bps (83% probability of no change at the upcoming meeting)

This article was written by Giuseppe Dellamotta at www.forexlive.com.